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MANAGING WITH SPIRIT OF MILLENNIUM
OCT 13, 1996 - THE STAR
                                                                                                           
By Dr Tarcisius Chin                                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                                      
THE third millennium officially begins on Jan 1, 2001. But                                                                                            
sentiments are already fixing Jan 1, 2000, for the celebration                                                                                        
as many major nightspots for the evening of Dec 31, 1999,                                                                                             
throughout the world have already been booked out.                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                                      
For many, the spirit of the new millennium is already upon us;                                                                                        
plans are, for example, under way for a millennium tower to be                                                                                        
built in London and in Tokyo, and many conferences and                                                                                                
seminars have been structured along its theme.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                      
Managements as a discipline, has moved with the spirit of the                                                                                         
new millennium. Thinkers and scholars have assembled together                                                                                         
trends and have tried to construct the future that is fast                                                                                            
beckoning us. For over two decades, managers have been taught                                                                                         
not to react but to proact; proaction has moved to creating                                                                                           
the future we desire now and not waiting to meet the future,                                                                                          
often unprepared.                                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                      
Let us examine some of the major trends that, collectively,                                                                                           
can help us install management approaches, tools, techniques                                                                                          
and applications to effectively menage the future. One obvious                                                                                        
trend is the breakdown of national and economic boundaries.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                      
For many people, the borderless world is already a reality and                                                                                        
globalisation will continue its relentless march until all                                                                                            
barriers are removed.  WTO is the platform to promote                                                                                                 
globalisation, but Internet and emerging global communication                                                                                         
technologies will be the driving force.                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                      
Because of globalisation, competition will be intense and only                                                                                        
the highly innovative organisations able to respond swiftly to                                                                                        
generate high consumer value will survive and prosper. Size                                                                                           
has given way to speed and unorthodox but smart strategies                                                                                            
will prevail over conventional wisdom.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                      
Take the case of the battle for software control over the                                                                                             
Internet.  Microsoft has been the acknowledge leader in global                                                                                        
PC software distribution, first with DOS operating system in                                                                                          
1980 followed by Windows IO years later. Netscape, on the                                                                                             
other hand, focused on creating the Navigator browser which                                                                                           
still dominates the market.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                                      
But with the fantastic growth of Internet's World Wide Web and                                                                                        
online communications, it is very conceivable that Microsoft's                                                                                        
Windows could become obsolete as Navigator has the potential                                                                                          
to supplant the operating system and break Microsoft's                                                                                                
hammerlock on the PC industry.                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                      
The battle between Microsoft and Netscape has begun and                                                                                               
Microsoft introduced in very short time its own browser the                                                                                           
Internet Explorer 3.0, developed in just one year. By the end                                                                                         
of the year, an enhanced Explorer 4.0 is expected on the                                                                                              
market, this time developed over just six months!                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                                      
Of managerial interest is the observation that product life                                                                                           
cycles are becoming astonishingly shorter and shorter. A year                                                                                         
ago, Nathan Myhrvold of Microsoft stated "no matter how good                                                                                     
your product, you are only 18 months from failure." His is now                                                                                   
proven wrong.  The span has been reduced to six months for                                                                                            
Explorer 3.0. And the frightening thing about this is that the                                                                                        
span is expected to shrink even further!                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                      
The lesson for management is that the winner is not the                                                                                               
company with the best product, but the team that can run the                                                                                          
longest the insanely fast product development treadmill.                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                                      
Monolithic organisations just cannot respond quickly enough to                                                                                        
competitive pressures to win. Hence traditional organisational                                                                                        
structures have given way to guerilla teams and affinity                                                                                              
groups composed of multi skills (ala Mission Impossible, Dirty                                                                                        
Dozen and the Magnificent Seven), active around the clock not                                                                                         
centralised is a particular physical location, but connected                                                                                          
by a singularity of purpose.                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                      
The success of Asea Brown Boveri is that its workforce is                                                                                             
generally not in excess of 200 people in a given                                                                                                      
organisational unit. Autonomous but integrated groups drawing                                                                                         
upon the right combination or human talent is what guerilla                                                                                           
teams are about.                                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                      
Even in the large organisation of Microsoft (19,641                                                                                                   
employees), Internet Explorer began with eight employees in                                                                                           
August last year moving to 30 by number and by the time it was                                                                                        
released on Aug 13 this year the number had risen to 800                                                                                              
employees. The management lesson is that guerilla teams are                                                                                           
fluid and structured around requirements not the other way                                                                                            
round.                                                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                                      
And who will be the managers leading the guerrilla teams? In                                                                                          
the case or Microsoft vs Netscape it was Bill Gates himself                                                                                           
who demonstrated his competence as a worldclass CEO by driving                                                                                        
and transforming the company to exploit the potential of the                                                                                          
Internet with considerable corporate agility.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                      
What is the management lesson in this for Malaysian managers?                                                                                         
In essence, the effective manager of the future has to be the                                                                                         
personification of a leader, manager and entrepreneur wrapped                                                                                         
in one person.                                                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                                      
Many of our managers are technocrats operating within a                                                                                               
structure and context of responsibilities to deliver a given                                                                                          
performance. He is given identifiable resources and a budget                                                                                          
to operate from.  He works within limits of authority and                                                                                             
frequently keeps his nose clean by not shaking the corporate                                                                                          
boat, plays, politics and walks the safe ground.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                                      
This sounds like the role of a col onel in the armed forces.                                                                                          
If we agree that the conventional army is no longer                                                                                                   
appropriate for modern corporate warfare, we need guerilla                                                                                            
leaders who can also exhibit entrepreneurial flair for new                                                                                            
ideas processes and technologies and who also have the soft                                                                                           
skills to lead, communicate, motivate, negotiate and implement                                                                                        
all these wonderful new products and services to fight the                                                                                            
competition.                                                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                                      
The attributes of management leadership and entrepreneurship                                                                                          
are not exclusive to Bill Gates or to CEOs, but can also be                                                                                           
stimulated and nurtured at every level of the managerial                                                                                              
hierarchy .There is a leadership management entreprenuer                                                                                              
continuum which demands from time to time a dominance of one                                                                                          
feature over the other two, but over time all three features                                                                                          
will have to be called upon if we seek to be an effective                                                                                             
manager for the future.                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                      
Al higher levels of management, leadership and                                                                                                        
entrepreneurship will dominate over technical management, but                                                                                         
these qualities will need to be developed on lower levels if                                                                                          
proaction is our creed.                                                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                                      
As we seek to develop generational managers the Malaysian                                                                                             
Institute or Management has already moved vigorously towards                                                                                          
developing and shaping the leadership and entrepreneurial                                                                                             
talents of our younger managers. We have been doing this as                                                                                           
our response to the new millennium and the inspiration of                                                                                             
Vision 2020.                                                                                                                                          
 

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