| TITLE : MACRO ECONOMICS: ANALYSIS AND POLICY. 5TH ED. |
Contents INTRODUCTION Basic economic concepts 1 What economics is about 3 Production and the circular flow. The central economic problem: Scarcity and choice: Choice at the personal level. Choice at the national leveL The basic decisions: What, how, and for whom? How economists think: The languages of economics. Economic models and their uses. Explanation, prediction, and policy: Explanation: Positive economics. Prediction: Economic forecasting. Policy analysis. What to do: Normative economics. 2. The microeconomy: Markets and prices 27 Markets and prices Markets. Prices. Price determination under competition: Individual demand. Market demand. Market supply. Market equilibrium. Shifts in demand and supply. Free pricing and regulated pricing: The functions of price. Price-fixing Surpluses and shortages. Interrelation of markets: General equilibrium analysis. 3. The macroeconomy: National output and income 53 Measuring national output: Problems in adding up output. How output and prices behave. The composition of output: Consumption, investment, government, foreign trade: Consumer purchases. Business purchases. Government purchases. Foreign trade. Output equals income. The uses of income. Aggregate equilibrium and disequilibrium. Appendix: The U.S. national income accounts. PART ONE Aggregate demand, Output, and prices 4 National output in a simplified economy 85 Aggregate demand: Consumption plus investment: The circular flow once more. Spending on consumption. The household consumption schedule. The national consumption schedule. Long-run behavior: Shifts in the consumption schedule. The equilibrium rate of output. The autonomous spending multiplier. Applications of the equilibrium concept: Good and bad equilibrium points. The paradox of thrift. Saving and investment: Planned and realized. Appendix: Algebraic derivation of the multiplier. 5. National output in a more complex economy 112 Features of the expanded economy: Government activities. Business saving. Exports and imports. The new consumption schedule. Aggregate demand and equilibrium output. Application of the equilibrium concept: A new and smaller multiplier. New sources of autonomous change. The equilibrium condition once more. 6. The supply of money 127 The functions of money. What is money? The business of banking. How demand deposits expand and contract. Bank reserves, the reserve requirement, and demand deposits. Demand deposit expansion in a step-by-step process: Demand deposit expansion in a more realistic context. The Federal Reserve System. Federal Reserve monetary control: Objectives and techniques: Open-market operations. Member bank borrowing and the discount rate. The legal reserve requirement. The money supply process. 7. Demand for money and the rate of interest 154 The demand for money: Transactions demand. Asset demand. Evidence on the demand for money. The supply of money and the rate of interest: The complex of interest rates. 8. Money, interest, and output 169 The quantity theory of money: Some monetarist propositions. Investment and the rate of interest: Determining the return on investment. The marginal efficiency of investment. Other factors influencing business investment demand. Business investment: Some evidence on behavior. Other effects of the rate of interest. Inventory investment. Housing investment. Consumer spending. Government spending. Consequences of adding money to the model. Appendix: The synthesis of money and income. 9. Inflation 193 Introduction. Sources of inflationary bias. Inflationary momentum: The wage-price-wage spiral. Inflation and aggregate demand: Acceleration on the upswing. Slow deceleration on the downswing. Inflation and market power. Inflation and money supply. Supply shocks and inflation: The two oil price explosions. Instability of grain prices. The dollar exchange rate. Slower productivity growth. The 1981-83 disinflation: Good management or good luck? Inflation and its consequences: Who gains and who loses? 10. Taxes, public spending, and public debt. 220 Introduction. The meaning of a fiscal program: The high-employment fiscal surplus. A rule for budgetmaking? Financing the deficit. The question of the debt. PART TWO Macroeconomic policy 11. Fluactions in national income 241 Economic fluctuations: What goes on: Some things fluctuate widely. Some things always go up. Explanation: The role of investment: Autonomous investment: Reasons for irregularity. Induced investment: The acceleration principle. The mechanism of expansion. The upper turning point. The downswing. Forecasting: Barometric forecasting: Leading indicators. Econometric forecasting. The forecasting record. 12. Macroeconomics policy: Strategy and tools 261 Characteristics of a good policy instrument. Monetary policy: How monetary policy operates. The choice of targets: Money supply versus interest rates. Evaluating monetary policy. Fiscal policy: The meaning of fiscal policy. Budget making in practice. Evaluating fiscal policy. Policy mix and policy coordination. Fixed rules versus fine tuning: Monetarists and activists: The key issues. A review of evidence. The postwar policy record. 13. Coping with underemployment and inflation 286 Coping with underemployment: The problem: Output loss. The NAlRU as an employment target. Employment targets and output targets. Reducing the NAIRU. Coping with inflation: Creating economic slack. Supply and costs. Incomes policy. 14. Long-term growth: The past and the future 307 GNP does not measure welfare. The record of economic growth. The sources of economic growth: Growth and factor supplies. Improvement of factor productivity: The residual. Explaining the residual: The economics of technical change. Disembodied technical progress. Embodied progress and factor quality. Learning and technical progress. The recent productivity slowdown: A passing phase? The future of economic growth: Population and food supply. Natural resource supplies. Can the growth rate be manipulated? The future of the growth rate. PART THREE The international economy 15. The basis of international trade 333 Introduction. The basis of trade: Comparative cheapness. An illustration of comparative cheapness. The principle of comparative advantage: Comparativeadvantage: The international case. Comparative advantage: Factor supplies. Comparative advantage: Technology. Comparative advantage: The domestic market. Comparative advantage in practice. 16. External balance and the world monetary system 358 The mechanism of international payments. The balance of payments. The rate of exchange. Demand and supply of imports and exports. Demand and supply of dollars: Adjustment to change. Fixed rates: The Bretton Woods system. Floating rates and the future outlook: Pros and cons of floating rates. Experience with floating rates. 17. Trade flows and trade policy 380 The pattern of world trade. Barriers to trade: The tariff controversy: Tariffs: The gainers and losers. Tariffs: The national interest. Issues in American trade policy: Tariffs and quotas. Is the United States deindustrializing? East- West trade. The United States and the Third World: Some key issues: Pricing of primary products. Manufactured exports from LDC's. "Official" capital transfers. Private lending and the debt problem. Glossary of concepts 407 Index 417