| TITLE : TECHNICAL ANALYSIS IN COMMODITIES.* |
PART 1 BACKGROUND Introduction 3 PERRY J. KAUFMAN Commodities, Computers (Ind People 13 THEODORE R. HARTLEY The Expanding View of Product Pricing 29 PERRY J. KAUFMAN PART 2 SYSTEMS Moving Averages 39 -An Explanation and Computerzed Testing of Simple, Linear, and Exponentially Smoothed Moving Averages FRANK HOCHHEIMER Channels and Crossovers 53 -An Explanation and Computerized Testing of Commodity Trading Technique* FRANK HOCHHEIMER Xii CONTENTS Selection and Direction 69 J. WELLES WILDER, JR. The Box-Jenkins Approach to Commodity Forecasts 85 CHARLES J. TESTA AND MICIIAEI. HARGROVE PART 3 ANALYTICAL METHODS The Price-Volatility Relationship in Commodities 99 PERRY J. KAUFMAN Using Contrary Opinion in the Commodity Market 115 R. E. HADADY Data Errors and Profit Distortions 135 GARY GINTER AND JOSEPH J. RITCHIE The Mapping System of Test Strategy 145 PERRY J . KAUFMAN PART 4 COMMERCIAL Commodity Selling Model A Theory of Price Distribution 167 PERRY J. KAUFMAN PART 5 EXPERIENCE The Psychological Value of Technical Analysis 189 T. LOFTON The Daily Decision-Maker Worksheet 195 HERBERT LOBEL Index 223