| TITLE : ECONOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF REGIONAL SYSTEMS: EXPLORATIONS IN MODEL BUILDING AND POLICY ANALYSIS * |
Foreword vii Preface ix Acknowledgments xi I INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Purpose of This Study 1.2 The Philadelphia Region 1.3 A Brief View of the Philadelphia Region Econometrie Model 1.4 Outline of the Study II METHODS OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC ANALYSIS 13 2.1 Introduction 2.2 Economic Base Models 2.3 Regional and Interregional Input-Output 2.4 Econometric Models 2.5 Regional Models Revisited III A FORECASTING MODEL 75 3.1 Introduction 3.2 The Development of the Philadelphia Model 3.3 The Model 3.4 Concluding Remarks Appendix to Chapter III: Philadelphia Econometric Project Model and Data Bank IV TESTING THE MODEL AND SOME POLICY-ANALYTIC SIMULATION EXPERIMENTS 139 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Tests of the Philadelphia Econometric Model 4.3 Forecasting with the Philadelphia Econometric Model 4.4 Policy-Analytic Simulation Experiments 4.5 Concluding Remarks V A SUMMING UP 193 5.1 Summary and Conclusions 5.2 The Future for Regional Econometric Models References 197 Index 207